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The
Mediterranean-Black Sea Union: The Ship Sets Sail
On July 13, in the Grand Palais, an ornate meeting hall
built for the 1900 World’s Fair in Paris, the Mediterranean-Black Sea Union
ship was set to sea with many good wishes from the assembled 44 heads of State
or Government. How sea worthy the ship is and what it will carry is too soon to
tell.
Much of the ship’s planning was done by the French
President, Nicolas Sarkozy and the small, high level group of his foreign
policy staff led by Jean-David Levite, former Ambassador to the UN, the
Secretary-General of the Presidency, Claude Gueant, Henri Guaino, the
president’s personal envoy on the issue along with the Foreign Minister Bernard
Kouchner.
There is always a tendency, largely for public relations
reasons, to name an institution in broader and brighter terms than the reality
merits. Thus when Roosevelt and Churchill decided upon the name "United
Nations" the reality was neither united nor nations but rather a
traditional alliance of States. Likewise, the Mediterranean- Black Sea Union
comprises States which have little Mediterranean tradition nor is there an aim
for a union in the middle-range future.
At the insistence of Germany, the earlier name for European
efforts of collective relations with North Africa and the Middle East – the
Barcelona Process – was kept. The new institution is called The Barcelona
Process-Mediterranean Union. In addition, because all 27 States of the European
Union (EU) are involved, the process would be better called the
Mediterranean-Black Sea Union. There already exists since 1992 the Black Sea
Economic Cooperation Project (BSEC) among Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan,
Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Moldova, Romania, the Russian Federation, Turkey and
Ukraine. Albania, Bulgaria, Greece, Romania, and Turkey are part of the
Barcelona Process-Mediterranean Union, and Turkey is the "swing
State" between the Mediterranean and Black Sea processes.
The Barcelona Process-Mediterranean Union’s membership
includes the 27 States of the EU, the North African States of Mauritania,
Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, and Egypt. (Libya was represented at the meeting by
its Foreign Minister; it is not clear what policy it will follow.) Five Middle
East States: Israel, Palestine, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria. Three States of former
Yugoslavia – Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro. (Serbia, which has no outlet
to the sea was excluded, but obviously has more economic weight than
Montenegro). Lastly, as a place to put one’s money, Monaco is part of the
Union.
President Hosni Moubarak of Egypt and Nicolas Sarkozy were
co-hosts of the launch and will be co-presidents for two years of a rotating
presidency. The fact that heads of State who are often not on speaking terms
such as Bachar al Assad of Syria, the new president of Lebanon, former General
Michel Sleimane, and Israeli Prime Minister Ehoud Olmert were all at the same
table can be taken as a good omen but must be followed up quickly with
meaningful steps.
The Barcelona Process has had some useful, largely ‘low
profile’ activities of cultural and scientific exchanges. While the term
‘partnership’ is often used, the Barcelona Process has been one nearly
exclusively set by the EU and largely to facilitate European interests. It is
hoped that by having co-presidents and a small Secretariat in a southern
country (probably Tunisia or Malta), the Mediterranean Union will be closer to
a real partnership. In practice, most relations between EU members and North
Africa-Middle East States have been bilateral rather than through EU
institutions.
However, there is little civil society structure to support
the Union. While there are a good number of people from North Africa working in
Europe, they do not serve as a political force pushing for closer ties among
the Mediterranean countries. In fact, one of the not-so-hidden agenda items for
the Union on the part of European States is to limit migration, especially
illegal immigrants. However a negative agenda of curbing illegal immigration
and fighting terrorism will not build enthusiasm among southern countries.
There are a number of structures proposed for the Union, largely
based on existing EU structures :
-A Mediterranean Investment Bank, modelled on the European
Investment Bank created to facilitate economic development in Central Europe
and the States of the ex-USSR
-A Mediterranean university exchange program inspired by the
EU’s successful Erasmus program
-An environmental agency working especially on Mediterranean
pollution
-A common audiovisual structure
-A nuclear energy agency
Today, we see growing cooperation among States and peoples
of the Mediterranean and Black Sea regions. Common problems of poverty, social
tensions, and environmental degradation call for common strategies. Enlightened
leadership, understanding these common interests of all the peoples of the
Mediterranean and Black Sea area is required as well as a multitude of
cooperative initiatives among the peoples of the area. Work on common tasks
will deepen the cultural foundations upon which Mediterranean and Black Sea
integration will be built. Much will depend on an uninvited State, Russia. Russia
is the largest State of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation Project and is
currently re-negotiating its general relations with the EU and is also engaged
in energy-security negotiations with individual EU countries.
A Mediterranean-Black Sea Union is not a unified, fixed
concept but is always in the making. A more realistic title would be a
Mediterranean –Black Sea regime in the sense of Stephen Krasner’s widely used
definition of regime: "Regimes can be defined as sets of implicit or
explicit principles, norms, rules and decision-making procedures around which
actor’s expectations converge in a given area of international relations."
(1)
But regime is a less hopeful word than union, even if more
realistic in this case. Bold steps are needed to build on the impressive
launch. The Mediterranean-Black Sea ship has set sail.
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